Friday, August 21, 2009

Updated Heatley Theory - Dany Never Loved Us!

Finally, some news. And lots of it! Back to back press conferences from Heatley and Murray today and we can all jump back into the message boards and digest what we learned. Now most people will say that Heatley spat out some rehearsed answers, came across as a spoiled millionaire, and still didn't explain why he wants out. That was followed up by Murray giving the 'we'd welcome him back, I'll still try and trade him, but we need to start thinking about Heatley the Senator again'. Granted, Murray did share more details about how hard he's working on this trade and gave an honest answer about the teams on Heatley's list and their cap space issues. But at the end of the day, we're all still scratching our heads about Heatley's apparent 'diminished role' and his need for 'options'.

What Heatley's comments did, to be honest, was take me back to our interview with John Buccigross earlier in the summer. In it, he said "I somewhat sympathize with Heatley. He signed a contract he really couldn’t turn down in a place he didn’t really want to be. I imagine he has had trade in the back of his mind from the day he signed the contract. I don’t think it was as contrived as say Alex Rodriguez in Texas, but I do think he’s wanted to leave. He’s a good player and this should pass." We kinda wrote it off that it didn't make sense and Heatley could have just walked away if he didn't want to sign here.

But as we listen to Heatley today saying things like 'he's been thinking about this for a while' and he 'wants options', the more I am seeing some merit to Bucci's comments. Add to this our belief that his agents have shown an ability to play puppet master and advise him in his comments and actions. What does that math work out to on your calculator?

To me, I see a possibility that Heatley's intentions to be traded have come even before he signed his extension. Think about it - Heatley came here post-lockout as damaged goods, both physically and emotionally. The organization took him under their wing and helped him grow into one of the most prolific scorers of our generation. At the same time, he must have been missing the total anonymity of playing in Atlanta. At Phillips Arena, he could take off a shift or miss a backchecking assignment and nobody would notice (no offense to Thrashers fans). At Scotiabank Place, fans would notice every single stride he took, every pass he missed, every battle he avoided. While Heatley has somewhat of a free ride with fans (Spezza wore his blame like a professional), it was still a much tougher market to play in than his previous place.

So here he is, a 50-goal scorer with another year left on a contract and an eagerness to move back South where he could make his millions and be left alone. Not a problem - Muckler had him on a 3-year contract so he'd just play out the term and then could go wherever he wants.

Then this conversation takes place: "Hold the phone," says JP Barry, "you can't leave Ottawa as a free-agent after everything they've provided for you. Here's the plan, Dan. You are going to sign a long-term contract because you're a good soldier. You are going to ask for a no-movement clause because that's what stars do. You are going to play one season and then we will privately ask for a trade to a list of teams on a preferred list. Trust me, my clients discretely request trades all the time and it is just part of the business. You'll then have locked yourself in for 6 years making bank and you can still pick your team, just like you would have done as an unrestricted free agent. And when you think about it, we're doing the Sens a favour. Instead of leaving as a UFA and they get nothing, you are giving them an opportunity to trade you for value. We think that is fair and I'm sure Bryan Murray will, as well. I know you want to move and play outside of Canada, but just sit tight and let us take care of this. Ottawa will be happy that we're giving them a chance to trade you instead of getting Chara'd for thing, and you'll be happy because you can still hand pick your next team. Sign here for our commissions."

Before you write off this theory as ridiculous and one that took too long to develop, think about what I'm saying here. Dany has admitted that the thought for a trade has been brewing for a while. Is it so far-fetched that the no-movement clause and private trade request was contrived over a year ago by professional agents that do this for a living? They believed they would have all the benefits of free agency and the advantage of already having a long-term contract in hand. The short list of teams they provided Murray is the same as a player on July 1st taking offers from a handful of teams and choosing his favourite one.

Of course, this has all backfired for Heatley and his agent. Perhaps it WAS Murray that leaked the trade request, to remind Barry, McAlpine, and Heatley that he won't be played like this. Instead of having a quiet trade to the Sharks, Murray made sure from the start that Heatley would be exposed as the bad guy. Think about this - is there anybody outside of Heatley's immediate family and posse that has sympathy for him? If Murray had just traded him in June pre-draft, the fans wouldn't have understood why Heatley would be moved over Spezza and the team would look lost. Instead, everything gets out on the table and everyone is clear who caused this shatstorm. Well, played Sir Murray.

Okay, now you can have at it. Am I clutching at the air on this? Is my theory no different than all the other ridiculous rumours going around on the web? Or does this have merit? Think this over and let me know.

251 comments:

1 – 200 of 251   Newer›   Newest»
canucnik said...

Duff:

You and your "Yank" insider have gone back too far and "Big Dan" is not that mercenary.

It starts with the collapse of the Spring of '08.

No Big D-Man in the Fall of '08.

CC in the spring of '09.

The gf in the spring of '09..."Let's blow this town!"

BARRY in the spring of '09..."Dan, you can play anywhere you want tell these guys to fuck off...we'll patch it up with the fans after a huge Olympic Performance!

Remember they almost won the Stanley Cup and then they are just rippin' it to start '08...guys don't think trade when it's going that good and if they did they change their minds. These kids are Prima Donna(s), thin skinned multi-millionaires, they can do and think what ever they want to a point!

Anonymous said...

I think your theory is really possible. Except that if you look at the Pronger trade, Murray has to get something of value to move the guy. So far the only 1/2 decent trade was to Edmonton.

duff said...

Cmon, Nik, you're better than that! Do you really think Dany Heatley cares about winning more than he does about a comfortable lifestyle? This didn't start brewing when the team suffered, that just gave him his chance. If he wanted to win, he'd recognize that Ottawa is a model organization going through a tough patch and ready for recovery. And I know you can't possibly be buying the 'diminished role' bit. You're giving him far too much credit here as just being a guy that wants to win. This is a guy that never wanted to play in Canada to begin with. Olympics are fine, they last two weeks. But a full year? What do you want him to do, buy a multi-million dollar house downtown and have his wedding pictures in the paper? That's not Heatley.

Anonymous said...

Duff,
I agree with Canucnik that Heatley is not that mercenary.

I know a close personal aquaintance whom I work with, that knows two players on the team very well and has played with them too, and it really is nothing more than what was just said publically. It's all about Mr. Healtey and what is best for him.

I'll buy that he hates losing. I'll buy that he hates not having a guy to set him from the point. I'll buy that what makes a naturally talented and gifted hockey player lose it, because his "shitty" teammates cannot give him the puck, or his goaltender can't stop the puck when he gives it up. And then the coach craps on him for not playing hard enough.

I am Dany f'n Heatley after all.

He is just one of those players in my opinion where there is an "I" in team. Of course there isn't one :)

I have played hockey with guys like him, and frankly, the only reason players are saying they could, and would play with him, is because of one thing, and one thing only. He fills the opposing net with pucks.

Think back to yonder days when the local kids on your street were getting ready for the big street hockey match of the day. No one liked the kid at the house two doors down, but he was a hellva hockey player, so when it came down to picking teams, you would always hear "Buddy's on my team". Why? Because, you wanted to win at all costs, and the trophy was bragging rights. :)

Dany is Buddy. He is that kid that everyone wants on their team, because the kid can play, but no one really likes him. They all say they do, but no one truly does.

-KJ

Master Of Puppets said...

Duff:
I was thinking something similar, but it seems a little far fetched. The whole list of teams thing makes it seem like a want the cake and eat it too - like free agency. Was Dany RFA when he signed or would he have been UFA? The whole "let's jam ourselves up" - long term deal, NMC so you can ask for a trade to a list of teams giving you UFA like freedom while they aren't screwed out of return value, just doesn't wash.

Maybe the idea looked good at the time, but wouldn't they forsee a shitstorm like this if it leaked. But maybe the 'Plan' didn't consider the leak scenario.

It makes you wonder though.

The 'options' BS is what makes it possible. If you really are pissed at the diminished role, why the hell would you not jump when an offer was presented like the edmonton one? The city is desperate for a scoring talent, and you'd be used in a prominant role.

Oh but it's Edmonton. Siberia of Canada, hockey fishbowl like here, maybe not a contender, Pat Quinn at the reins ...

I think its not as far fetched that the idea was cooked up at signing - play a couple years - the team may win a cup, if it instead flops, pull out the request, 7.5M is not a bad cap hit, and the economy is good - cap will be going up for years (oops didn't see the recession coming).

It certainly does reek of conspiracy, the pieces add up. But could they really have been that cunning to have actually thought it could be pulled off? Hell if we're intelligent enough to dream it up surely they could have right?

On another note - I was really disgusted at how the conference call came off - the video clips of the media scrum with Dany at the rink on TSN were a lot better - for Dany I mean. He should have avoided the 'call' altogether - the videos were less tarnishing. I haven't found a copy of the call to play it back - the tsn clips don't do the 'call' any justice.

Brennan's joke was funny, maybe unclassy but Dany was worse by not responding - he could have easily spun the 'A' question into a positive. "You know Don, if I am playing for Ottawa and the organization feels its best for someone else to have the opportunity to be an Alternate Captain, then for sure if it's best for the team I'll gladly hand it over to that guy. It doesn't change the fact that I am going to play my best and do what I can for the team, until I am no longer a part of it."

canucnik said...

Duff:

This man has won at every level; and yes count the big line when they had the whole league at their feet.

This man is a superb German machine, a scoring machine, assembled in Calgary. A one only, "prototype".

Eugene signing Dan to the multi year, multi million dolar contract:"Dan, money and money for team mates, you know better players, will never be an issue as long as we're together in Ottawa!"

These kids live day to day, make decisions on a day to day basis, everything is done for them including reading the road map of life. The navigator, hot shot Barry, jumped too quick, reacted too fast, "Screwed the Pooch!"

Anshu said...

I think your theory is possible, and is supported by some of the facts.

However, the one that resonates most with me is the idea that his father told him "if you win in Ottawa, Alfie will get all the credit, if you lose, you and Spezza will get all the blame".

As soon as Alfie extended long-term, Heatley figured his own legacy would be better served playing elsewhere.

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