Sunday, March 14, 2010

Where do we go from here?

The good news is that there are two healthy NHL-calibre players waiting in Ottawa for Tuesday's game. The bad news is we really, really need to win Tuesday night's game.

One of our fun things to do as fans is to dream up the forward lines. I've never done it much for the main reason that Clouston changes them up so damn much, but I think it is simple going forward. The top line needs to stay together - they are the gamebreakers, as evidenced by the insance coast to coast job that Spezza put on last night. Michalek is like a junior Heatley in that he seems to only produce on passes from Spezz Dispenser. Alfie, he's just our best player so we might as well leave him at the top.

In my opinion, Kovalev doesn't deserve great linemates just yet. He had chemistry earlier with Regin and Shannon but the trio has struggled post-Break. Let them work through this and find their game again. The other reason to leave it alone is because a line of Cullen/Fisher/Foligno would be a thing of beauty. Hard workers, fast skaters, and an ability to score. Foligno isn't a great backchecker, but the other two can pick him up. These are three guys that will go to the corners and into the blue paint and get us those dirty goals while giving the top billing some rest.

That leaves the fourth line for Kelly with Ruutu and Neil. As Nik pointed out, Cullen is restricted by being with any of those guys. This would make up a terrific fourth line because they'll hit, they'll work hard, and they'll backcheck (Kelly and Ruutu, at a minimum). I'm comfortable with these guys on the ice late in the game if we get stuck icing it or pinned in our zone. Chummy is first out of the press box, before Winchester.

As decent as Sutton has been since his acquisition (not perfect, but decent), one of the benefits is that with Campoli still out indefinitely, we can still bump Lee out to the press box. I have stuck up for Lee since he stepped on our ice, but he's neither an offensive dman or a defensive one and so he's kinda just a body out there that is prone to mistakes and penalty calls (although I didn't think his penalty last night was that bad).

But what about actually winning games? Listen, better we lose these shit-shows in March as opposed to April. I don't want to back into the playoffs, but we have a baker's dozen of games to figure this out and need to play around .500 hockey. Sort out the lines, untangle the disgusting powerplay, and grind out some tough wins this week.

And goaltending - forget salaries, just play the guy that is going to give you the best chance to win. Even though I thought Snoopy made some amazing saves last night, it is still Elliott that is ending up with the wins. Goaltending will keep us from becoming a contender, but all we ask of these guys is to give the skaters a chance to win and Elliott is doing that right now.

To cheer you up, eight of the final 13 games are against non-playoff teams.

Thursday, March 11, 2010

Thursday Thinkpiece

A few random thoughts for your Thursday because we haven't been posting much lately:

1. On the headshot discussion - applesauce to the GMs (random Larry Sanders Show reference there) for doing what the players were already asking for. It sounds like they will recommend a penalty for 'blindside hits to the head'. This doesn't eliminate bodychecking and it doesn't eliminate open-ice hits. It just penalizes those sideways, vulnerable hits that have led to concussions. Given this, I'd imagine something like the Neil hit on Drury in 2007 would have qualified as a bad hit because it was from the side and Drury was very vulnerable. Truth be told, I don't have a problem with the rule. I consider myself a hockey purist - hate the shootout, miss a good 0-0 tie - but this was long overdue. I don't question the toughness of today's players compared to the good ole days of Eddie Shore, etc. Those guys were tough as hell, playing without helmets, slashing and punching each other, and more. But the game has changed so much since then and players are so much bigger, faster, and stronger that an open ice hit now is far more serious than an open ice hit in the Original Six days. Every good sport (every good organization anywhere) knows that it has to continue to adapt as it grows and hockey is doing just that. A problem has become more serious to the point that the players asked for a change - now they have it. Kudos to the GMs for acting on this (they shunned the idea 12 months ago). Again - it won't change bodychecks or open ice hits, it will just basically mandate a more respectful approach to the hits. Contradictory statement? Not at all, if you've been on either end of a big hit.

2. Volchenkov - what we know from Booboo is that Grossman, his agent, rejected a five-year offer from Murray. First off, I'm scared of giving the guy another five years based on his insane injury history. Second, unless the offer was lower than what he makes now, A-Train has made a grave mistake in agent selection and retention. I don't necessarily compare this negotiation to the Kovalchuk failed negotiation because in that case, I'm pretty sure that Kovy just wanted to get the hell out of Atlanta. In our case, we all assume that Volchenkov wants to stay but wants Komisarek money. If that is our barometer, then this will be a long negotiation. Grossman will point to the $4.5M Komi deal and show that Volchenkov is better (he's right). Murray will point to it as evidence that the contract was an epic failure and nobody will pay that much. He'll add in about how much the organization has done for him and ask for the hometown discount. I have full faith that Murray gets this done and the train stays in our station for another 3 years. Worst case scenario, he signs with the Caps and we get Sutton signed and hope like hell Cowen has a shot (he won't).

3. The goalie debate - I have no issue with Clouston going back to Ells on Tuesday night. His point is valid in that Elliott is the one that rattled off the winning streak and his numbers are better. We were all a bit surprised, sure, because Snoopy makes a lot of money and could have been given a chance for a few games. But at the end of the day, it was Elliott playing well going into the Break and he's earned the time. To say that Snoopy deserved it because of how well he played against the Leafs - he still lost! I know he made decent saves, but let's hold off on the praise until the dude wins a game. In the meantime, let Ells run with it and see how far we can go. Good call, Clouston.

4. Nice to see Cullen get one last night. I have found that he skates hard and really gets right in there on the play, but his hands have been Kelly-esque. For some reason, I thought he'd be a great stickhandler, but that might be an unfair expectation. He's a third liner with speed and skill, a seasoned Foligno, basically. I've also liked Sutton's play - very simple and poised. Not sure how you earn $3.8M for that, but it wasn't our contract. Karlsson has been great - more on him soon.

5. A month ago, would you have thought that there would be four teams from the Northeast Division in playoff positions? Montreal and Boston sit 7th and 8th respectively, which is impressive considering the stumbling they were working through mid-season. The Southeast Division continues to be awful and it really makes me think that Washington will struggle again. In addition to the fact that Ovie is 0-for-2 in big games, his team really hasn't had any kind of adversity all year. For some reason, I feel that your team has to go through some suffering in order to really come together as a group and play hard for each other. To me, they still seem like a handful of hotshots from different countries that still feel entitled to success, but aren't necessarily prepared to work for it. Without a goalie and without a real great strong defensive pairing, I just don't know if these guys are ready for a the long playoff grind. The only real team that scares me in Pittsburgh, and at some point these guys need to be getting tired of playing until June every year. I think this is why I was happy that Murray went out and picked up some pieces for the stretch run - he recognizes that the East is really bad or really even or whatever. Are we a contender today? Hard to say we're 'the team to beat', but I really think that the Conference is so bad that we might as well go balls out.

Karlsson talk coming soon.

Saturday, March 06, 2010

Tonight is a Must Win. Yes, it is.

UPDATE 1:04pm - I didn't do my homework before posting below but it looks like Snoopy's getting the start as Ells has been hit by the flu bug. This is another reason to WIN. If Leclaire wants to see another start this season, he's going to need to earn it tonight. Go Sens!

Can you say must win? I'm not pushing the big red panic button over here, but yes, tonight's game versus the provincial rival Maple Leafs is a must win. The pre-Olympic red hot Sens have cooled off after two uninspired performances since returning to action this past week. Tonight brings the lowly 15th place Leafs to the SBP, and if their record wasn't a good enough reason, here are a few others as to why the Sens need this one...

1. We're at home. Given our record in Kanata this season, we would certainly like to clinch top spot in the North East to give us the advantage in the playoffs. Duh. And with home games becoming few and far between down the stretch, we need to win there as much as possible. We lost to the Rags at home the other night, no need to make it two straight.

2. A good friend of mine, a die hard Leaf fan from Oakville, will be in attendance tonight. Simply, I'd like him to see that the Sens are the superior team.

3. Orr 2 - Carkner 1. While the Sennies need a W tonight, Carks needs to drop Orr like a hot potatoe. A hot potatoe that just got knocked out. (plus I have $20 on the outcome of the inevitable fight!)

4. Our next two games are against the 29th and 30th place teams in the league, respectively. I'll cringe if we don't come out with 4 points. Nuff said.

5. We need to settle our goaltending...once again. Elliot played bad, Snoopy came in. Snoopy starts, sees 5 shots, Elliot takes his place. Ugh. Ells should get the start tonight and it would be grand if he could return to his back-to-back NHL weekly star performance. We need goaltending back on track for the stretch and into the playoffs. It needs to start tonight.

6. HNIC. My buddy from Oakville isn't the only one who needs to see the Sens are the superior team.

7. I can't stand how Luca Caputi is the talk of the town in Toronto. I mean, who's Luca Caputi? Oh wait, he's an AHLer on the Leafs second line. This team is bad. We must beat inferiour teams, always. And so, tonight's a must win.

This is all pretty obvious, but I needed to let it out. After two weeks off and two poor games, all of the Sens (especially Volchenkov) need to get back on track. A two game grace period is enough. Time to get back on track. Honestly, another poor effort tonight would really start to concern me. Again, not "panic button time" but this team needs to respond tonight. I believe Clouston will get the boys rolling, so he better. If they can't get up for tonight's game...uh oh...

So I think it's a must win, but do I think they will win? Of course! Look out for the return of the lunch pails as the Sens will likely welcome the youngest team in the league with a lot of banging off the bat. This should open up room for our top two lines to return to form and find the back of the net.

I'm no good at predicting the final score, so I'm not going to. I'll leave it at Sens W - Leafs L.

Do y'all agree that tonight is a game of significant importance? Or am I over exaggerating the need to win?

Not too long til game time...Enjoy!

Tuesday, March 02, 2010

Sutton to Sens done

Sutton for a second rounder, which now means we've traded both of our second round picks. Fine by me as I think we picked up a pair of warriors. Sutton is massive - 6'6" and 245lbs - and has been around a while. His only playoff experience, though, is the four games he was in Atlanta when they were swept by the Rags in 06-07.

I like him. He's hard-nosed and huge and if he can stay out of the box, we are now a tougher team. I watched him a few times in Atlanta and he can certainly play well at this level and won't be a liability for us. Good ole Kingston boy, too. I assume this concludes our foray into the trade market this year, which means we can't get Comrie back. Nooooooooooooo.

Kudos to the wikipedia dude who updated his page within ten minutes of this trade breaking. Good job? Emphasis on the question mark there.

Monday, March 01, 2010

Can't We Talk About the Gold Medal Game A Bit More?



It kinda sucks that the day after the greatest hockey game in history, we have to quickly straighten our tie and prepare for the trade deadline. I know there isn't much of a way around it, but I wish we could at least have today to enjoy the win for a little longer. You know what? I'm taking that day and refusing to get into trade talk yet. My lasting thoughts on the Olympic hockey tournament, including the re-taking of the Gold Medal:

1. Like him or not, Sydney Crosby scored the greatest goal in the history of hockey. Biggest name out there, biggest game out there, biggest audience in history, overtime, gold medal on the line, home soil, avenging an earlier loss, massive pressure, blown two-goal lead that included one with 24 seconds left, and I could go on. When the Kid broke into the league and dove and whined his way to stardom, I had a tough time pulling for him. Ovie was the easy one because he was goofy and hit hard and scored amazing goals. Over time, I have to admit that my ship has changed courses and I'm now of the belief that Crosby is the greatest player in the game right now. I'm not just talking talent, because I think that is still debatable. But for an all-around player, I just don't know how you can argue that at 22-years old, he isn't the best player out there. I'm pulling for ya, Kid!

2. Speaking of Crosby and Ovechkin, and I know the detractors will say his contributions were here and there, I do think it is funny that both of Crosby's major accomplishments involved going through Ovie. Second round last year and the Caps were humiliated by Crosby's Pens. This time, the Russians were humiliated by Crosby's Team Canada. Which leads me to my next point...

3. I'm no longer scared of the Capitals. I'm sorry, I know it isn't a huge sample size, but Ovechkin is now 0-for-2 in big games. If he were the best, he'd have willed his team to victory. But both times, with the game on the line, he hasn't been there. The Capitals already suffer from mediocre goaltending and porous defence, but now the world knows that you can out-will Ovechkin and Semin in the big game. Unless he proves me wrong this year, I'm ready to say that Ovechkin will be plagued with this for years to come. The only player with more negativity to shed might be...

4. Joe Thornton. Sure, he, Heatley and Marleau are trotting back to Silicon Valley with gold medals around their necks, but it is safe to say that we won that game not because of them, but in spite of them. I kinda lost my shat when Marleau and Thornton formed a pair in the overtime and Heatley came over the boards next. This isn't sour grapes, people, those guys scare me in a bad way. Master of the long reaching stick check in the offensive zone, Thornton did absolutely nothing to show that he has what it takes to put in the extra effort. Combine the way he and Heatley played in the medal games with the beauty of a performance that Nabokov put forth and you have another quick exit for the Sharks. I actually feel bad for Dougie Wilson because there is nothing he can do about it. He can't trade any of this star players while they sit in first place, but they will inevitably lose in the early rounds and he'll be fired. One GM that impressed me, though, was...

5. Brian Burke, who deserves credit for the team he put together. I'm not going to go as far as to get behind the 'nobody knew our names' crap that they are saying, but the team lived up to his billing. Did we expect them to medal? Not really, but everyone knew that Ryan Miller gave them a chance. I hate Burke and Ron Wilson but they iced a team that skated hard, competed at all times, and gave us the best final opponent possible. Lucky for us, they have to return to the world of the salary cap and will continue to toil in mediocrity. One last piece on the US team - I live in the US and have had a number of people say congrats on the win, but there are always those ass-hats that come by and say 'weren't you guys supposed to win?' or 'okay, so now we're tied 1-1, when's the rubber match?' Even a blogger on Yahoo had some long thing about how it isn't special that Canada won because we were favourites going in. It sucks that sour grapes can ruin such an amazing game. Americans should hold their heads high, enjoy the fact that their team played an amazing tournament, and start looking forward to 2014. Do you think anybody in the US dressing room was thinking during the tournament that they sucked and weren't supposed to be there? They showed up looking for gold.

6. My top players of the tournament have to be Getzlaf and Toews. Getzlaf is such an awesome prototype of Canadiana - tough as nails, great scorer, proud, in your face, All-Star. Plus, he's insanely bald for his age. I hated that we had to play against him in the Finalsin 2007, but love that he's on our national team. I felt that Perry was there as a byproduct of Getzlaf, though Perry did hold his own when it mattered. Toews showed the promise that this team has going forward as he was easily our best two-way forward, which is a new role. I guess that is what is so amazing about this tournament - you see a guy like Rick Nash on the fourth line and he's still working his ass off. New roles, new linemates, but you still go out there with your country's emblem and play like there's no tomorrow.

7. Kind of an emotional situation for the goalies. We have definitely seen the last of Martin Brodeur as a goalie for Team Canada. Knowing just how great he is and remembering the save he made on Hull in a 3-2 game in 2002, it sucks to know that Brodeur's international playing career ended with a loss. Luongo was good. He wasn't amazing, but he didn't need to be. He needed to make timely saves and avoid the stinker. Even though Parise's goal was partially in the zone because Luongo didn't freeze the initial point shot, he still kept calm and was the winning goalie. Not much more to say than that. Luongo has a ways to go and will be our guy in 2014, without question. Thanks for the golds, Marty!

8. Overlooked in the aftermath of The Goal was the Iginla pass. I even read in some articles that 'Crosby jumped on a loose puck' to score the winner. C'mon, people! Iggy fought hard on the boards and made a hard, no-look pass to the front of the net because he saw Crosby take off and Rafalski hesitate. I'll be the first to admit that Iggy 2010 was a shadow of Iggy 2002, but that pass was insane. Not many guys on the team (I'm looking at you, Sharks) would take the hit and make that perfect pass, but that's why the two guys were paired up at that moment. Let us not forget Iggy in all of this.

9. Not trying to look ahead here, but what players will be too old for 2014, assuming the NHL sends players again? Niedermeyer, Boyle and Pronger on the back end will be replaced with Green, possibly Phaneuf, Bouwmeester, Robidas, etc. Naturally, other guys will step up, but Keith, Seabrook, Weber, and Doughty are children and have a while to go. Of the forwards, are you sitting down for this? The elder statesman is Jarome Iginla, who is ancient at 32 years old right now. Wow. I'm sure over time, we have to make room for a Stamkos in there (maybe a Spezza?), so those role guys will change with time. How about Tavares? Yeah, we'll be alright. In nets, swap Brodeur with a Mason and we're ready to go. All is well with Hockey Canada - thanks, Sid!

10. And let's hear it one last time for Team Canada. I about threw up everywhere when we scored that goal. In a good way, of course. We were so dejected after that loss in the preliminaries, both because of the opponent and because of the resulting journey we'd have to the gold medal game. The win against the Germans was a practice, but the match against the Russians was supposed to be a war. We killed them so bad that their media is accusing us of performance-enhancing drugs, saying it is the only explanation of how the game was so lopsided. We thought we'd get the Swedes, but just like in 2002, they were upset in their quarterfinal match. Though the Slovaks of 2010 were far tougher than the Belarussians of 2002, we still finished them off. And the most hyped hockey game of all time lived up to the anticipation. I'm going to need to see so many replays of this game for the simple fact that I was too nervous to catch the little plays from time to time. The second period is almost a blur. And The Goal. Where were you when Canada won Gold in 2010? It is hard to imagine right now, but this goal was bigger than Paul Henderson and was bigger than the 87 Canada Cup. This was Gold on home soil with the whole world watching. We'll tell our kids and they'll tell their kids for generations to come. Epic. Legendary. Surreal. The greatest goal of all time in the greatest game in our history. There, I said it. Now go and enjoy the trade deadline frenzy. What do we have to give up for Comrie?













Thursday, February 25, 2010

Ottawa or Canada - question of the day.

Quick question this morning - when you saw that Slovakia upset Sweden last night, what part of that brings the best news? Is it the Canada doesn't have to face the reigning Gold medal winners, or is it that Alfie gets to go home and have an extra week of rest?

Discuss.

I'm pumped for Canada, but had Sweden won last night, they would have locked in two more games - the semifinal and either the gold or bronze medal game. Now, Alfie gets the extra week of recovery. That's just as brilliant, as far as I'm concerned. Especially considering Canada was like a high speed freight train last night.